Hillary Clinton's 2016 run is not inevitable

And four other truths about the Secretary of State's political future

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
(Image credit: Athit Perawongmetha/Getty Images)

Even from Los Angeles, it's easy to get wind of the conventional wisdom in Washington about the future of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton: No doubt about it... she's going to be our next president. Even many Republicans believe this. The CW rests on several assumptions that may well be true but are fairly useless so far as augury is concerned. Here are five truths to consider about Hillary Clinton.

1. She hasn't made up her mind yet — indeed, far from it. People who have spoken to Clinton about her future and, importantly, who have spoken with her husband, former President Bill Clinton, are not ready to bet on odds any greater than 50:50 that she decides to run. In fact, Clinton discourages speculation within her inner circle not by swearing them to omerta but by simply laughing off the possibility that she needs to make a decision anytime soon. Clinton will be a private citizen soon after the inauguration. She will spend time traveling (without portfolio and for leisure), she'll read, see movies, and get plenty of sleep. It will be her first break in years. From this period of mindfulness a wellspring of different possibilities might emerge. Retirement is one of them. She's earned it.

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Marc Ambinder

Marc Ambinder is TheWeek.com's editor-at-large. He is the author, with D.B. Grady, of The Command and Deep State: Inside the Government Secrecy Industry. Marc is also a contributing editor for The Atlantic and GQ. Formerly, he served as White House correspondent for National Journal, chief political consultant for CBS News, and politics editor at The Atlantic. Marc is a 2001 graduate of Harvard. He is married to Michael Park, a corporate strategy consultant, and lives in Los Angeles.