Is it really too late for a new GOP candidate to emerge?
Many Republicans still yearn for a "white knight" to join the presidential fray. And it's possible, albeit unlikely, that their prayers could be answered
With the opening of the GOP primary season in Iowa just a few weeks away, the conventional wisdom says the race is down to Mitt Romney vs. Newt Gingrich, with only a tiny chance that someone else in the Republican field could snare the party's presidential nomination. But is there still a chance primary voters could say "none of the above"? Some political analysts say a new candidate could still wind up being the GOP's answer to President Obama in 2012. Isn't it far too late for a Republican dream candidate to come from nowhere to take the nomination?
A newcomer still has a shot: "The prospect of a viable, late-starting candidate [is] quite real," says Rhodes Cook at Sabato's Crystal Ball. In past elections, a front-loaded primary schedule meant that a "quick knockout" was virtually assured before most of the country even had a chance to vote. But in 2012, the calendar is packed with late events. Only 15 percent of the GOP delegates will be awarded in January and February. On Super Tuesday in early March, 12 elections will award 25 percent of the delegates. Nearly three-fifths of GOP delegates won't be in play until even later. And many filing deadlines still haven't passed. The field's not closed quite yet.
"2012 Republican race: The field may not be closed"
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Conservatives should pray for a brokered convention: Given "Mitt Romney's failure to seal the deal with conservatives" and the general angst over the alternatives, anything's possible, says Erick Erickson at RedState. If major donors and conservatives leaders manage to "drag things out," they just might be able to push somebody new to victory with late-primary wins — Sen. Jim DeMint, anyone? Or Jeb Bush? And if no candidate wins a strong majority of delegates, we might even see the political horse-trading of a brokered convention. That may be "wishful thinking," but remember, "miracles do still happen."
"Getting to a brokered convention"
This talk makes the GOP look pathetic: The GOP has been itching for a rematch against President Obama for three years, says Steve Benen at Washington Monthly. But here we are, "just 26 days before the Iowa caucuses," and the party still doesn't like its candidates. That's just "humiliating." It's unrealistic, too. The idea that "a white knight can come save the party" at the last minute is a fantasy, plain and simple.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
US election: who the billionaires are backing
The Explainer More have endorsed Kamala Harris than Donald Trump, but among the 'ultra-rich' the split is more even
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
US election: where things stand with one week to go
The Explainer Harris' lead in the polls has been narrowing in Trump's favour, but her campaign remains 'cautiously optimistic'
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is Trump okay?
Today's Big Question Former president's mental fitness and alleged cognitive decline firmly back in the spotlight after 'bizarre' town hall event
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
The life and times of Kamala Harris
The Explainer The vice-president is narrowly leading the race to become the next US president. How did she get to where she is now?
By The Week UK Published
-
Will 'weirdly civil' VP debate move dial in US election?
Today's Big Question 'Diametrically opposed' candidates showed 'a lot of commonality' on some issues, but offered competing visions for America's future and democracy
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
1 of 6 'Trump Train' drivers liable in Biden bus blockade
Speed Read Only one of the accused was found liable in the case concerning the deliberate slowing of a 2020 Biden campaign bus
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
How could J.D. Vance impact the special relationship?
Today's Big Question Trump's hawkish pick for VP said UK is the first 'truly Islamist country' with a nuclear weapon
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Biden, Trump urge calm after assassination attempt
Speed Reads A 20-year-old gunman grazed Trump's ear and fatally shot a rally attendee on Saturday
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published