Donald Trump's moment of crisis
The economy is failing. Foreign challenges loom. The president isn't ready.
The moment of crisis has finally arrived for President Trump. Does anybody think he is prepared to handle it?
This week, the stock market sank more than 800 points on fears that a recession is in the offing. Across the Pacific Ocean, China's confrontation with Hong Kong protesters appears to be coming to an inflection point — with results that could reverberate throughout the world economy. And in India, a decades-old stalemate over control of Kashmir seems to be ending badly and dangerously. This isn't just a moment of crisis. It's moments, plural.
So far, Trump has reacted precisely as you'd expect. Which is to say, badly.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
He's blaming the pending recession on the Federal Reserve. Publicly, he's shrugging at the conflict in Hong Kong — "I hope it works out for everybody," he said. But privately, he's reportedly deferential to the possibility of a Chinese military crackdown and offered a "personal meeting" with Chinese President Xi Jinping to resolve the matter. As for Kashmir, Trump has already withdrawn his offer to mediate that crisis.
Most of this leadership — if you can call it that — has taken place on Twitter. None of it seems to be working.
If the president has a real plan to deal with these events, it is not readily apparent. Instead, Trump is acting as he always has, relying on an unshakeable belief in his own personal charm and negotiating skills to solve long-intractable issues — "I alone can fix it" was his unforgettably hubristic campaign promise — and blaming everybody but himself when things go badly.
For all the controversies and rage stirred up by his two-and-a-half-year presidency, you could argue that Trump has been a lucky man. There have been plenty of crises during his tenure — a government shutdown, mass shootings, the separation of migrant families, the rise of racism — but so far he has avoided the kind of historical catastrophe by which we often judge our presidents. There have been no economic collapses and no major outbreaks of war, no national or international crises that require him to prove his mettle.
George W. Bush spent his presidency reacting to 9/11. Barack Obama started his tenure trying to solve the worst recession since the Great Depression. Trump has stumbled from one mess to another, steadfastly proclaiming victory at every point, but so far he has not had to face a comparable challenge.
Until now.
Before he was elected, observers looked at Trump and wondered how he would respond to what Hillary Clinton in 2008 famously called a "3 a.m. phone call" event that demanded clear, sharp, and thoughtful leadership. Trump seemed like a bully and a braggart, thin-skinned and shallow, reliant on bluster and star power. He didn't appear equal to the worst that the times can throw at a president. If faced with a 9/11-style disaster, one historian told Politico in 2016, it seemed likely Trump would "would simply withdraw to his Twitter account, riding out the threat with a lot of talk and little action." That sounds about right.
Trump has a limited toolbox when it comes to dealing with the challenges before him. His fondness for authoritarians leaves him little moral standing — even if he were inclined — to support the Hong Kong protesters or challenge a possible Chinese crackdown. He passed a giant tax cut when the economy was still growing, so that particular bit of economic stimulus probably won't be available to him now that it is really needed. It is possible his trade wars have helped bring on economic instability. As far as Kashmir, it's likely the president simply doesn't understand the stakes or the history of the region.
These shortcomings might be glossed over if Trump had a strong executive team in place. But the State Department has been hollowed out since the beginning of his presidency — it lost more than 1,200 positions by March 2018 — making it more difficult for that agency to provide the expertise and resources to deal effectively with challenges abroad. And on the economy, one of Trump's chief advisers is Larry Kudlow, best known until now as a cable TV news host. The bench is thin.
President Trump has not yet risen to the challenges of the times — instead, the times seem to have descended to his level. Bluster and tweets helped make Trump one of the most powerful men in the world. But to effectively address problems, he will have to do more than be loud at them.
We often judge our presidents by how they handle the big moments. So far, Trump is failing the test.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Joel Mathis is a writer with 30 years of newspaper and online journalism experience. His work also regularly appears in National Geographic and The Kansas City Star. His awards include best online commentary at the Online News Association and (twice) at the City and Regional Magazine Association.
-
4 tips for hosting an ecofriendly Thanksgiving
The Week Recommends Coming together for the holidays typically produces a ton of waste, but with proper preparation, you can have an environmentally friendly gathering.
By Theara Coleman, The Week US Published
-
Jussie Smollet conviction overturned on appeal
Speed Read The Illinois Supreme Court overturned the actor's conviction on charges of staging a racist and homophobic attack against himself in 2019
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
What might happen if Trump eliminates the Department Of Education?
Today's Big Question The president-elect says the federal education agency is on the chopping block
By Theara Coleman, The Week US Published
-
What might happen if Trump eliminates the Department Of Education?
Today's Big Question The president-elect says the federal education agency is on the chopping block
By Theara Coleman, The Week US Published
-
Gaetz bows out, Trump pivots to Pam Bondi
Speed Read Gaetz withdrew from attorney generation consideration, making way for longtime Trump loyalist Pam Bondi
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Brendan Carr, Trump's FCC pick, takes aim at Big Tech
In the Spotlight The next FCC commissioner wants to end content moderation practices on social media sites
By David Faris Published
-
'This needs to be a bigger deal'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
The political latitude of Musk's cost-cutting task force
Talking Points A $2 trillion goal. And big obstacles in the way.
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
New York DA floats 4-year Trump sentencing freeze
Speed Read President-elect Donald Trump's sentencing is on hold, and his lawyers are pushing to dismiss the case while he's in office
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
'It may not be surprising that creative work is used without permission'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
What message is Trump sending with his Cabinet picks?
TODAY'S BIG QUESTION By nominating high-profile loyalists like Matt Gaetz and RFK Jr., is Trump serious about creating a functioning Cabinet, or does he have a different plan in mind?
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published