Do Boris Johnson’s new coronavirus measures mean he originally got it wrong?
Prime minister says that everyone should now avoid unnecessary social contact
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has urged the public to avoid all unnecessary contact and travel and stay away from pubs and theatres in order to combat the increasing spread of coronavirus.
The new advice follows modelling which suggests the approach could cut the estimated coronavirus death toll from 260,000 to 20,000.
At a press conference yesterday, the prime minister said the disease was now “approaching the fast growth part of the upward curve”, with London at a more advanced stage than the rest of the country.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Deaths in the UK rose from 35 to 55 on Monday, with half of diagnosed cases in the capital.
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––For a round-up of the most important stories from around the world - and a concise, refreshing and balanced take on the week’s news agenda - try The Week magazine. Get your first six issues for £6–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
What are the new measures?
The prime minister has told the public to avoid unnecessary social contact, to work from home where possible and to stay away from pubs, clubs and restaurants.
People in at-risk groups will also be asked within days to stay at home for 12 weeks, while households of more than one person are being told to stay isolated for 14 days if any of them displays symptoms.
The prime minister said the advice to avoid unnecessary social contact was “particularly important for people over 70, for pregnant women and for those with some health conditions”.
Read more: Coronavirus: everything you need to know
Read more: Coronavirus: who is most at risk?
Does this mean that Johnson originally got it wrong?
The new measures are based on a study published by the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team which found the “mitigation” strategy previously being pursued by the government would “likely result in hundreds of thousands of deaths”.
The report predicted as many as 250,000 deaths if the government continued with its original plan, with ”health systems (most notably intensive care units) being overwhelmed many times over”.
Buzzfeed reports that the UK only realised “in the last few days” that its attempts to mitigate the impact of the coronavirus pandemic would not work.
According to the site, the government’s plan “was found to be unworkable”, with the Imperial College report advising that “epidemic suppression is the only viable strategy at the current time”.
“Change course or a quarter of a million people will die in a ‘catastrophic epidemic’ of coronavirus - warnings do not come much starker than that,” writes the BBC’s health and science correspondent, James Gallagher.
Gallagher highlights that while the Imperial College report is new, it was not the first time Johnson’s government was told of the dangers of its approach.
The new data, he reports, appeared “long after other scientists and the World Health Organization had warned of the risks of not going all-out to stop the virus”.
The Imperial College team says that with the correct approach of “suppression”, it is hoped deaths could be limited to the thousands or tens of thousands.
The report also suggests we may have to wait 18 months or longer for a vaccine.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
'Virtual prisons': how tech could let offenders serve time at home
Under The Radar New technology offers opportunities to address the jails crisis but does it 'miss the point'?
By Chas Newkey-Burden, The Week UK Published
-
The Week contest: Airport goodbyes
Puzzles and Quizzes
By The Week US Published
-
'We shouldn't be surprised that crypto is back'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
IPPs: the prisoners serving never-ending jail sentences
The Explainer Sentences of 'imprisonment for public protection' (IPPs) have been widely condemned, but many are still in force
By The Week UK Published
-
What is Lammy hoping to achieve in China?
Today's Big Question Foreign secretary heads to Beijing as Labour seeks cooperation on global challenges and courts opportunities for trade and investment
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Bob Woodward's War: the explosive Trump revelations
In the spotlight Nobody can beat Watergate veteran at 'getting the story of the White House from the inside'
By Chas Newkey-Burden, The Week UK Published
-
Trump kept up with Putin, sent Covid tests, book says
Speed Read The revelation comes courtesy of a new book by Bob Woodward
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
'The federal government's response to the latest surge has been tepid at best'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
Is Britain about to 'boil over'?
Today's Big Question A message shared across far-right groups listed more than 30 potential targets for violence in the UK today
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
UK's Starmer slams 'far-right thuggery' at riots
Speed Read The anti-immigrant violence was spurred by false rumors that the suspect in the Southport knife attack was an immigrant
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Biden tests positive for Covid in fresh blow to campaign
Speed Read The president said he would consider dropping out of the race if presented with a "medical condition"
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published