Sabrina Carpenter and Spotify conspiracy theories

Popularity of viral hit Espresso sparks accusations of modern 'payola' and algorithm hijacking by streaming platforms

Sabrina Carpenter walks the runway during Vogue World: Paris at Place Vendome on 23 June 2024 in Paris, France
Former Disney Channel star Carpenter has been accused of being disproportionately promoted by streaming platforms
(Image credit: Kristy Sparow / Getty Images for Vogue)

It seems as though everyone is singing Sabrina Carpenter's viral hit "Espresso", but its ubiquity has some speculating that we might be dancing to the tune of Big Streaming. 

"The disco-inflected soft pop hit, performed by a Polly Pocket-sized former Disney Channel star, was deemed the song of summer nearly as soon as it was released in mid-April," said Vox

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That's that me, Sabrina Carpenter

The 25-year-old is currently "everywhere", said Ceci Browning in The Spectator: "music videos, magazine covers, billboards, chat show sofas and, of course, Instagram and TikTok".

Carpenter's rumoured relationship with "Saltburn" star Barry Keoghan has also sparked a media frenzy. "If you're under the age of 30, you can't escape Carpenter."

But she has been "in the business for years", said NBC News. She released her debut album "Eyes Wide Open" in 2015 and followed that with four more for the Disney Music Group. She rose to global fame this year as the opening act for several dates of Taylor Swift's world-dominating Eras Tour, she "went viral" in April after performing "Espresso" for the first time at the Coachella music festival and "became ubiquitous online" thanks to TikTok videos and Spotify streams. 

Some users began to notice that "Espresso", with its distinctive but nonsensical chorus-line lyric "That's that me, espresso", would "autoplay on the platform no matter what they were listening to".

Therein lies the root of the conspiracy theory: that the biggest music streaming platform has "arrangements with record labels to boost streams for particular songs and artists", said Vox. 

It's "not exactly far-fetched", either. The history of pop music is "rife with payola scandals", in which executives "manufactured hits by paying for radio play", and continued to find loopholes after it was outlawed in the US in 1960. 

This is not to "diminish" Carpenter, or the "impressively lean and catchy" song "Espresso", said NME. But its "sheer prevalence" on Spotify, which seems to "disregard genres and listening habits", raises questions. 

One thing to note is that Spotify has recently changed its autoplay feature so tracks are chosen based on "recommendations", as opposed to "its previous model of what the user had been listening to". 

Then there's "shrewd viral marketing" by Island Records. Carpenter's label is part of Universal Music, which owns shares in Spotify. Tencent, an online advertising company, owns shares in Universal Music, while Spotify owns shares in Tencent. "Are you keeping up?" asked NME.

"There's no hard evidence to suggest that labels are directly paying Spotify to boost certain artists and songs," said Vox. "Yet it's almost impossible to prove that it's not happening" as deals are confidential and algorithms are "intentionally designed as black boxes". So "no wonder so many of us think something shady is going on".

Music's modern landscape

There is "a lot of chatter online" about whether Carpenter is being "boosted by Spotify", said Ryan Broderick in Garbage Day

It's "not dissimilar" from the conspiracy theory that Chappell Roan, another young viral American pop singer, is an "industry plant". After all, Carpenter did just announce a "pre-sale ticket deal" with Spotify. And unlike Roan, "Carpenter is not attached to a pre-existing scene", either in real life or online. 

But the fact remains that people "seem to like" Carpenter's songs. The "real takeaway" here, said Broderick, is that music fans are "becoming paranoid of how powerful Spotify is", while younger listeners "don't seem to remember a time before it".

"The rise of TikTok and Spotify algorithms have been credited with contributing to the end of 'monoculture' or simultaneous, collective cultural experiences," said NBC News. But with "Espresso", Carpenter has used the "modern landscape of the music industry to her favour, capitalising on TikTok and Spotify to increase the song's ubiquity".

Ultimately, Spotify and artists' teams can "pump everything into a track going viral", but people still have to "choose to engage" with a song to keep it going, said NME. And "really and truly, we're all vibing to it". 

That says more about listeners, said Browning in The Spectator. "There's nothing complex in artists like Carpenter, only dopamine-hacking jingles that play on our anticipation-reward systems." The system rewards musicians like Carpenter who write "forgettable, sugar-rush tunes".

So is Carpenter a viral sensation or an algorithmic flash-in-the-pan? "Who cares," says Broderick. "What are we even talking about here? She's a pop star making pop music."

Harriet Marsden is a writer for The Week, mostly covering UK and global news and politics. Before joining the site, she was a freelance journalist for seven years, specialising in social affairs, gender equality and culture. She worked for The Guardian, The Times and The Independent, and regularly contributed articles to The Sunday Times, The Telegraph, The New Statesman, Tortoise Media and Metro, as well as appearing on BBC Radio London, Times Radio and “Woman’s Hour”. She has a master’s in international journalism from City University, London, and was awarded the "journalist-at-large" fellowship by the Local Trust charity in 2021.