3 reasons Democrats may not be able to pass their broadly popular reconciliation bill


President Biden poured a ton of time and effort Tuesday into figuring out what Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) — or "Manchinema," as Politico dubs them — would be willing to commit to on the Democrats' $3.5 trillion budget reconciliation package. That's what the White House views as the key to preventing the legislative and political implosion that could start destroying Biden's domestic agenda starting Thursday, Politico's Playbook reports. "The public evidence" and "conventional wisdom" point to everything "sputtering toward a crash."
The White House says if Manchin and Sinema commit to a framework for passing the reconciliation package, Biden can convince House progressives not to tank the bipartisan infrastructure bill Manchin and Sinema helped negotiate. "Democrats close to the White House tell us that Biden has been bullish on landing Manchin but has found Sinema more frustrating and difficult to nail down on precisely what it would take to win her support," Politico reports.
A senior White House official told Politico there was "lots of progress" Tuesday but it "may not get gone," adding "We'll know in 24 hours." Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.) said he warned colleagues that "if we fail, Joe Biden and his administration is in jeopardy because he campaigned on this and people voted for him."
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
The biggest reason Democrats might fail this week, then, is that "Manchinema" doesn't care enough if Biden's agenda fails and Democrats look shambolic and unable to govern. But there are two more reasons, David Leonhardt and Ian Prasad Philbrick write in The New York Times.
First, "well-financed, well-organized lobbying groups strongly oppose some of the bill's major provisions," like raising taxes on the wealthy, expanding Medicare, and lowering drug prices, Leonhardt and Philbrick write. Sinema, for example, had plans to attend a fundraiser hosted by business lobbyists opposed to the bill. "But there is also a more subtle dynamic at work," where lawmakers mistakenly view the "median voter" as socially liberal and fiscally conservative, while the opposite is true.
"Many centrist Democrats are aware of this reality and cast themselves as culturally moderate populists," but Manchin and Sinema are doing the opposite here, Leonhardt and Philbrick argue. The upshot is that "the Democratic Party has an opportunity to pass a set of policies that are popular with their base, swing voters, and even some Republicans. Instead, the party may fail to do so."
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Peter has worked as a news and culture writer and editor at The Week since the site's launch in 2008. He covers politics, world affairs, religion and cultural currents. His journalism career began as a copy editor at a financial newswire and has included editorial positions at The New York Times Magazine, Facts on File, and Oregon State University.
-
Gavin Newsom mulls California redistricting to counter Texas gerrymandering
TALKING POINTS A controversial plan has become a major flashpoint among Democrats struggling for traction in the Trump era
-
6 perfect gifts for travel lovers
The Week Recommends The best trip is the one that lives on and on
-
How can you get the maximum Social Security retirement benefit?
the explainer These steps can help boost the Social Security amount you receive
-
Gavin Newsom mulls California redistricting to counter Texas gerrymandering
TALKING POINTS A controversial plan has become a major flashpoint among Democrats struggling for traction in the Trump era
-
President diagnosed with 'chronic venous insufficiency'
Speed Read The vein disorder has given Trump swollen ankles and visible bruising on his hands
-
'Bawdy' Trump letter supercharges Epstein scandal
Speed Read The Wall Street Journal published details of Trump's alleged birthday letter to Epstein
-
Fed chair Powell in Trump's firing line
Speed Read The president considers removing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell
-
Trump trashes supporters over Epstein files
speed read The president lashed out on social media following criticism of his administration's Jeffrey Epstein investigation
-
Judge nixes wiping medical debt from credit checks
Speed Read Medical debt can now be included in credit reports
-
Grijalva wins Democratic special primary for Arizona
Speed Read She will go up against Republican nominee Daniel Butierez to fill the US House seat her father held until his death earlier this year
-
US inflation jumps as Trump tariffs 'bite'
Speed Read Consumer prices are climbing and the inflation rate rose to its highest level in four months