2022-2023 Premier League predictions and odds: title winners and relegation
Will Manchester City retain their crown and can the three promoted sides stay up?
The 2022-2023 Premier League season gets underway a week earlier than the last campaign due to the Fifa World Cup taking place in November and December.
Matchweek 16, the weekend of 12-13 November, will be the final one before the six-week World Cup break. The action will then resume on Boxing Day, just a week after the World Cup final in Qatar. The Premier League’s final round of matches are scheduled for 28 May.
Manchester City come into the new season looking to win the title for the third time in succession. Pep Guardiola’s side edged out rivals Liverpool by just one point on a wild final day of last season. Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester United will aim to close the gap on the big two and challenge at the top of the table.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Fulham, Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest, the three clubs promoted from the Championship, will aim to stave off relegation as they return to the top-flight.
Here we pick out the pundit predictions for the Premier League champions and relegation candidates, plus the betting odds for title winners, relegation, golden boot and first manager to be sacked.
1. Title race predictions: who will finish top?
Given Manchester City have won four of the last five titles, “it’s hardly a bold prediction” they will win again, said Ben Gray on 101GreatGoals.com. Pep Guardiola has won ten league titles in 13 attempts and, “while he remains in place in Manchester, this tally is only likely to rise”.
The analysts from FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers ahead of the new top-flight campaign. According to the data, champions Man City have a 46% chance of winning the title ahead of Liverpool (30%) and Chelsea (11%).
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
City “look in very good shape” to become the only team alongside neighbours United to win three Premier Leagues in a row and five in six seasons, said Dom Farrell on SportingNews.com. “It is hard once again to look past Guardiola’s champions.”
ESPN commentator Ian Darke has made his Premier League predictions for 2022-2023 and there’s “nothing that original” there. “It’s going to be another close race between Manchester City and Liverpool,” he said. “Tottenham you’d think with the way they’ve strengthened might put in a much stronger run than what we’ve seen from them. They could make third place.”
Football analyst Statman Dave has published his predictions. He probably has “a better shout at getting things right” compared to, say, “the bloke in the corner of your local crying into his pint, AKA, yours truly”, said Kobe Tong on GiveMeSport. In a YouTube video the statman predicts the entire Premier League table, with “frightening” Man City lifting the trophy ahead of Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal, who complete the top four.
2. Relegation predictions: which teams will go down?
Dom Farrell on SportingNews.com picks Bournemouth and Fulham, “two of the three newboys”, to go down. So, “who of the established names” will join them? “If Southampton get into a spiral this season, that might be allowed to go too far downward before corrective measures are applied, meaning the Championship beckons.”
FiveThirtyEight’s data revealed that Nottingham Forest have a 45% chance of being relegated this season. Bournemouth (44%) and Fulham (41%) are also expected to struggle.
Statman Dave predicts that Everton will join Fulham and Bournemouth in the drop zone at the end of the season. “Consistently bad decisions” have left Everton in “serious trouble”, he said. “Their squad doesn’t have an identity and is filled with players whose best days are behind them.”
3. Premier League betting odds
A look at the pre-season prices according to Oddschecker.com, as of 2 August 2022.
Title winner betting odds
- Manchester City: 8/13
- Liverpool: 11/4
- Tottenham Hotspur: 14/1
- Chelsea: 16/1
- Manchester United: 40/1
- Arsenal: 40/1
- Newcastle United: 150/1
- See the full price list at oddschecker.com
Relegation betting odds
- Bournemouth: 8/15
- Nottingham Forest: 5/4
- Fulham: 3/2
- Leeds United: 2/1
- Brentford: 5/2
- Southampton: 3/1
- Everton: 7/2
- Wolves: 11/2
- Crystal Palace: 11/2
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 9/1
- See the full price list at oddschecker.com
Top goalscorer betting odds
- Erling Haaland (Man City): 11/4
- Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): 9/2
- Harry Kane (Tottenham): 6/1
- Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal): 13/1
- Darwin Nunez (Liverpool): 14/1
- Son-Heung Min (Tottenham): 20/1
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Man Utd): 23/1
- Jamie Vardy (Leicester City): 33/1
- Raheem Sterling (Chelsea): 33/1
- See the full price list at oddschecker.com
First manager to be leave role betting odds
- Frank Lampard (Everton): 4/1
- Ralph Hasenhüttl (Southampton): 6/1
- Jesse Marsch (Leeds United): 6/1
- Brendan Rodgers (Leicester City): 8/1
- Bruno Lage (Wolves): 12/1
- Marco Silva (Fulham): 12/1
- Scott Parker (Bournemouth): 12/1
- Thomas Tuchel (Chelsea): 14/1
- Eddie Howe (Newcastle United): 18/1
- Steven Gerrard (Aston Villa): 20/1
- See the full price list at oddschecker.com
Mike Starling is the former digital features editor at The Week. He started his career in 2001 in Gloucestershire as a sports reporter and sub-editor and has held various roles as a writer and editor at news, travel and B2B publications. He has spoken at a number of sports business conferences and also worked as a consultant creating sports travel content for tourism boards. International experience includes spells living and working in Dubai, UAE; Brisbane, Australia; and Beirut, Lebanon.
-
'All Tyson-Paul promised was spectacle and, in the end, that's all we got'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
Changes are coming for 401(k)s and IRAs in 2025. Here's what to know.
The Explainer News about part-time workers, auto-enrollment and penalties for inherited IRAs
By Becca Stanek, The Week US Published
-
Biden visits Amazon, says climate legacy irreversible
Speed Read Nobody can reverse America's 'clean energy revolution,' said the president, despite the incoming Trump administration's promises to dismantle climate policies
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
The Premier League's spending cap: levelling the playing field?
Talking Point Top clubs oppose plans to link spending to income of lowest-earning club, but rule could prevent success gap from widening
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is a new English football regulator an own goal for the game?
Talking Point PM hails 'historic moment for football fans' but West Ham owner warns it could 'ruin' Premier League
By The Week UK Published
-
Lionesses will have regrets but their legacy can be ‘incredible’
feature England stars return home after heartbreaking Women’s World Cup final loss to Spain
By Mike Starling Published
-
‘Fairytale’ for Wiegman as Lionesses roar into first Women’s World Cup final
feature England will face Spain on Sunday after spoiling the Matildas’s party in Sydney
By Mike Starling Published
-
2023-2024 Premier League predictions: champions, relegation and golden boot
feature A look at the top flight talking points and pundit picks for the new season
By Mike Starling Published
-
Lionesses dig deep after Lauren James’s ‘Beckham-esque’ red card
feature England reach the Women’s World Cup quarter-finals after a 4-2 win on penalties against Nigeria
By Mike Starling Published
-
The Ashes: can England mount a glorious comeback?
feature ‘Herculean’ task follows ugly scenes at controversial second test
By The Week Staff Published
-
Man City: can ‘one of the best sides in history’ win the treble?
feature Guardiola’s Premier League champions have two more trophies in their sights
By The Week Staff Published