Clinton holds edge in the countdown to Election Day


Hillary Clinton has an edge on Donald Trump in multiple four-way polls released in the waning hours before the majority of Americans cast their votes on Nov. 8.
In an NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll, Clinton has a 6-point lead on Trump. "Over the course of months of NBC News/SurveyMonkey polling, the numbers have remained remarkably stable," the analysts wrote. "Clinton has not only maintained a lead over the Republican nominee since the end of July, but the margin of her lead has been between 4 to 6 percentage points since the second week of September." The poll was conducted online between Oct. 31 and Nov. 6 with a sample of 70,194 likely voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.
Likewise, a national poll by Bloomberg Politics conducted after FBI Director James Comey said Clinton shouldn't face charges related to her private email server also showed the former secretary of state ahead. The poll's results, though, suggested a narrower race: Clinton with 44 percent, Trump with 41 percent. The Bloomberg poll reached 799 likely voters with a margin of error of 3.5 percent, and was conducted by Selzer & Co.
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Wall Street Journal/NBC News found Clinton with a 4-point lead. "Trump tried to do something: To take his brand of populism and reach into the middle [of the political spectrum]," GOP pollster Micah Roberts, who helped conduct the survey, told The Wall Street Journal. "It didn't work." The poll reached 1,282 likely voters between Nov. 3-5. and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 points.
Finally, an ABC News/Washington Post poll stood at 47 percent Clinton, 43 percent Trump with an update planned for Monday afternoon. It was conducted by cell phone and landline Nov. 2 through 5 in English and Spanish among 1,937 likely voters, with a margin of error of 2.5.
Nationally, RealClearPolitics has an average of the polls reflecting Clinton up 2 points between Oct. 30 and Nov. 6.
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Jeva Lange was the executive editor at TheWeek.com. She formerly served as The Week's deputy editor and culture critic. She is also a contributor to Screen Slate, and her writing has appeared in The New York Daily News, The Awl, Vice, and Gothamist, among other publications. Jeva lives in New York City. Follow her on Twitter.
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