If the 2020 presidential election were held today, President Trump would lose to every major Democratic candidate — and he'd be crushed by former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a national Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.
Biden's 13-point lead is underpinned by a 30-point lead among independents, who back him 58 percent to 28 percent over Trump. All six Democrats put in head-to-head races with Trump beat him among independents, and the president's best number among that group is 34 percent, versus Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.). In the Democratic primary, Biden leads with 30 percent, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) at 19 percent and Warren at 15 percent. Everyone else was in single digits.
"Numbers this far out from a general election are hard to read, and could change between now and November 2020," CNN cautions. "They should be thought of as a snapshot in time rather than a predictor of the future." At the same time, a Fox News poll in mid-May had only slightly better news for Trump — he was losing to Biden by 11 points.
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,214 voters nationwide June 6-10, and this poll has an overall margin of error of ±3.5 percentage points.