Marco Rubio shouldn't drop out after his dismal Super Tuesday. Ted Cruz should.
Rubio is still the only Republican who can beat Trump
Donald Trump has won Super Tuesday. But he still hasn't won the Republican nomination. I believe Donald Trump's authoritarianism and overt racism mean his nomination as the standard-bearer of the Republican Party would dishonor the party, and that it's incumbent on every Republican to do every lawful thing to prevent that outcome.
Which poses the question: After Super Tuesday, how do you stop Trump?
The answer is clear: The non-Trump candidates should rally behind a single standard-bearer. The majority of Republicans disapprove of Trump, and even more would if they knew about the various scandals that show the corruption of his character.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
This is still winnable. As Jonathan Last pointed out in The Weekly Standard, in exit polls, "Only 27 percent [of voters] had heard about his reluctance to denounce David Duke and the KKK; 20 percent about Trump University and the fraud lawsuit; 13 percent about the failure of Trump Mortgage." The key is to unite behind a single candidate who can beat him.
Everyone knows this. The problem is that every candidate thinks that he should be the standard-bearer. Ted Cruz thinks it's Ted Cruz. Marco Rubio thinks it's Marco Rubio. John Kasich thinks it's John Kasich.
I want to make the case that the man is Marco Rubio.
Now, I need to come out of the woodwork. Yes, I've supported Marco Rubio since this thing began, and yes, I have strong reservations about Cruz. But if I honestly believed Ted Cruz was the best candidate to beat Trump, I would call on Rubio to drop out and endorse him.
The anti-Rubio, pro-Cruz case is easily laid out, as The Resurgent's Brian E. Miller does. All of the talk about Rubio's prowess as a candidate is just that — talk. He underperformed in New Hampshire. He didn't win South Carolina. He didn't win Nevada. Meanwhile, Cruz has won his home state and other states, while Rubio is polling below Trump in Florida. Cruz is the winningest candidate after Trump, and so the anti-Trump camp should rally to him.
Here's the problem with that assessment.
Cruz won't win the next states. Cruz did relatively well on Super Tuesday because that day's contests were skewed toward his Southern evangelical base. But the upcoming contests aren't in Southern evangelical states, and in those states, Cruz is likely to underperform and Rubio to outperform.
Rubio draws blood. Everybody mocked Rubio, or hung their head in shame, after his debate fluke in New Hampshire, and deservedly so. But since then, he's proven he's not a robot. At the debate before Super Tuesday, Cruz landed a few punches, but Rubio positively wiped the floor with him. Thus far, Marco Rubio is the only person in the universe to have beaten Donald Trump in a debate. And it had an impact: Trump won, but underperformed his pre-debate poll numbers, and late-deciders disproportionately broke for Rubio.
Rubio can unite the Republican Party. It's a line Rubio likes to repeat, but it doesn't mean it's not true. Like it or not, there are huge swathes of the Republican Party that dislike and distrust Cruz, and not just the establishment. This isn't just important for beating Trump, but for what happens after. Besides hardcore anti-immigration voters, who will probably stay home anyway if Trump isn't nominated, everybody in the GOP at least likes Rubio.
Rubio can win. Sorry, but Ted Cruz's belief that you can win in 2016 with the 2004 playbook of turning out those phantom "millions of conservatives" who "stayed home" is a fantasy. Not going to happen. Beating Trump with an unelectable general election candidate would still salvage some of what's left of the party's honor, but if we have the option of a non-Trump candidate who can also win a general election, then we should definitely take it.
Ted Cruz's entire candidacy and public persona is premised on the idea that he's the only one who puts principle above all. Many conservatives have long suspected that it's all an act, and that what Ted Cruz puts above all is Ted Cruz. Now he has an opportunity to prove us wrong, and do a great thing for his country. He should seize it.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry is a writer and fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. His writing has appeared at Forbes, The Atlantic, First Things, Commentary Magazine, The Daily Beast, The Federalist, Quartz, and other places. He lives in Paris with his beloved wife and daughter.
-
The key financial dates to prepare for in 2025
The Explainer Discover the main money milestones that may affect you in the new year
By Marc Shoffman, The Week UK Published
-
Sudoku medium: December 19, 2024
The Week's daily medium sudoku puzzle
By The Week Staff Published
-
Codeword: December 19, 2024
The Week's daily codeword puzzle
By The Week Staff Published
-
US election: who the billionaires are backing
The Explainer More have endorsed Kamala Harris than Donald Trump, but among the 'ultra-rich' the split is more even
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
US election: where things stand with one week to go
The Explainer Harris' lead in the polls has been narrowing in Trump's favour, but her campaign remains 'cautiously optimistic'
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is Trump okay?
Today's Big Question Former president's mental fitness and alleged cognitive decline firmly back in the spotlight after 'bizarre' town hall event
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
The life and times of Kamala Harris
The Explainer The vice-president is narrowly leading the race to become the next US president. How did she get to where she is now?
By The Week UK Published
-
Will 'weirdly civil' VP debate move dial in US election?
Today's Big Question 'Diametrically opposed' candidates showed 'a lot of commonality' on some issues, but offered competing visions for America's future and democracy
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
1 of 6 'Trump Train' drivers liable in Biden bus blockade
Speed Read Only one of the accused was found liable in the case concerning the deliberate slowing of a 2020 Biden campaign bus
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
How could J.D. Vance impact the special relationship?
Today's Big Question Trump's hawkish pick for VP said UK is the first 'truly Islamist country' with a nuclear weapon
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Biden, Trump urge calm after assassination attempt
Speed Reads A 20-year-old gunman grazed Trump's ear and fatally shot a rally attendee on Saturday
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published