How will the writers' deal shape the future of Hollywood screenwriting?

One of the longest walkouts in Hollywood history appears to be at its end, as the Writers Guild of America (WGA) has announced a tentative deal with the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers (AMPTP) to end the 146-day writers' strike. If ratified, the deal would bring to a close one of the two labor disputes that have brought the entertainment industry to a standstill. The major actors' union, SAG-AFTRA, remains on strike against the studios, and no talks between the two sides are currently scheduled.

The guild's preliminary three-year contract "is exceptional — with meaningful gains and protections for writers in every sector of the membership," the WGA said in a statement. While the exact details of the agreement are unclear, sources told Deadline that the parties were "able to untangle their stalemate over AI and writing room staffing levels," as protections from artificial intelligence in the entertainment industry proved to be a major sticking point for the WGA.

The deal still has to be voted on by guild members, but assuming all goes through, what does it mean for Hollywood? Will this deal have an impact on future labor disputes in entertainment? And how will screenwriting as a profession change going forward?

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What are commentators saying?

Hollywood "may be filled with petty, vindictive assholes who hold grudges against all enemies, real or perceived," Matt Belloni and Jonathan Handel wrote for Puck. But at the end of the day, the film and television business is "still a creative-driven business, and studio executives are evaluated in part on their talent relationships, real or perceived." The pair noted that most studios chose to suspend overall deals with most writers during the walkout, rather than cancel them outright, because "for the most part, they’d really like to be in business with top writers post-strike."

The rise of social media also allowed striking writers to snipe at studio executives "in a very public forum—often by name, often in nasty, personal attacks," the pair added, something that was not present during the previous writers' strike in 2007-2008. And when it comes to the writer's market itself, studios and streamers "will almost certainly be pulling back, post-strike," Belloni and Handel opined, but while deals for top writers will probably remain unaffected, "the divide between working writers/showrunners and the bottom of the guild is already vast, and post-strike it will likely get wider."

Does this deal also bode well for an end to the actors' strike? "SAG-AFTRA leaders and A-listers frequently joined writers on picket lines in a show of solidarity," the Los Angeles Times wrote. The tentative deal "could put pressure on the 160,000-member performers' union to resume bargaining with the studios."

But the truth is that the deal "won’t resolve the underlying challenges facing the entertainment industry that prompted the guilds to take this action, including wrenching change brought about by streaming" and the rise of AI, Brian Lowry wrote for CNN. However, this shouldn't diminish "what the writers and actors’ unity accomplished, joined in the belief that they had to make a stand and address fundamental issues."

What's next?

The first step is for writers on major television shows to return to work if the deal is ratified. This is most notable in regard to late-night talk shows, where "some late-night producers are already emailing staff members about coming back to work ASAP — perhaps as soon as Tuesday," Variety reported. The trade magazine noted that insiders "predict that the major network daily shows will coordinate an exact time to return at the same time," especially given that the major late-night hosts "have been in close contact during the strike, and will likely want to maintain that spirit of cooperation."

Scripted series "will undoubtedly be the last to return to screens," The Wrap reported. Though some shows, such as the highly anticipated second season of HBO's "The Last of Us," already have scripts and are set to begin pre-production imminently, they can't be filmed without actors, meaning much of Hollywood still hinges on a SAG-AFTRA deal. 

"The bottom line is that we can’t go back into negotiations until they come to an agreement with the WGA," SAG-AFTRA's Los Angeles Vice President Michelle Hurd previously told TheWrap. "As long as there’s actual true good faith bargaining happening, then that path to us getting back is closer."