Who will win the general election? Voting day poll results and odds

Findings of final poll of the campaign released as voters head to the ballot box

The final poll of the election shows the Conservative Party maintaining its lead over Labour and the other rival parties.

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PollsterConLabLDGrnBXPCon/La gapFieldwork
YouGov (MRP)43%34%12%3%3%9%4-10/12
YouGov43%33%13%3%3%10%5-6/12
Opinium45%33%12%2%2%12%10-11/12
BMG41%32%14%4%4%9%4-6/12
ComRes41%33%12%2%4%8%4-5/12
Panelbase43%34%13%2%3%9%4-6/12
Survation (phone)45%31%11%2%4%14%5-7/12
ICM42%35%13%2%3%7%29-11/12
Kantar44%32%15%3%2%12%28/11-2/12
Ipsos-MORI44%33%12%3%2%11%9-11/12
Deltapoll44%33%11%2%3%11%5-7/12
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Row 0 - Cell 0 ConLabLib DemBXPGreenSNPOther*
Vote43.4%34.3%12.1%3.1%2.3%3.5%1.3%
Seats34822713014120
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Row 0 - Cell 0 ConLabLib DemBXPGreenSNPOther*
Vote42.4%30.5%14.8%3.7%3%3.5%N/A
Seats35320923014420
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Row 0 - Cell 0 Con Lab Lib Dem BXP Green SNP Other**
Vote 43% 34% 12% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Seats 339 231 15 0 1 41 5

Joe Evans is the world news editor at TheWeek.co.uk. He joined the team in 2019 and held roles including deputy news editor and acting news editor before moving into his current position in early 2021. He is a regular panellist on The Week Unwrapped podcast, discussing politics and foreign affairs. 

Before joining The Week, he worked as a freelance journalist covering the UK and Ireland for German newspapers and magazines. A series of features on Brexit and the Irish border got him nominated for the Hostwriter Prize in 2019. Prior to settling down in London, he lived and worked in Cambodia, where he ran communications for a non-governmental organisation and worked as a journalist covering Southeast Asia. He has a master’s degree in journalism from City, University of London, and before that studied English Literature at the University of Manchester.