New analysis from Reuters released Saturday finds Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are basically even in terms of Electoral College support. Were the election held today, it "could end in a photo finish," perhaps similar to the contested George W. Bush vs. Al Gore race in 2000.
Where Trump was previously believed to trail Clinton's Electoral College count considerably, Reuters now considers Florida — with the fourth most electors of all 50 states — a likely win for the Republican nominee. Reuters also updated its projections for swing states Pennsylvania (from likely Clinton win to toss-up) and Ohio (from toss-up to likely Clinton win).
Even with this shakeup, neither candidate comes close to 50 percent support nationwide: Clinton has a slight lead of 42 percent national support to Trump's 38 percent.