At this time of writing, The New York Times' Upshot section is giving Donald Trump more than a 95 percent chance of winning the presidency — but at the same time, they think Hillary Clinton is going to win the national popular vote.
The Upshot's Nate Cohn tweeted:
We believe Clinton is very likely to win the national popular vote. pic.twitter.com/qnVxlxqA8r
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 9, 2016
If that prediction holds true, Clinton would be the second presidential candidate in two decades to win the national vote while losing the presidency in the state results for the Electoral College — the first being fellow Democratic nominee Al Gore, who lost to his Republican rival George W. Bush in the disputed election of 2000.
Such a result could also augur tough times ahead, in a continuing cultural war between Trump supporters and Clinton supporters. Eric Kleefeld