17 House races move in Democrats' favor, per analyst's projection
Democrats' dreams of winning the House this November are inching closer to reality.
Sabato's Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan analyst group at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, tilted 17 House races toward Democrats on Tuesday. Democrats now have an advantage this November — the first time this election cycle that Crystal Ball put either party in the lead.
Most of those 17 spots probably won't end up going to Democrats, Crystal Ball shows. Five have moved from "safe Republican" to "likely Republican" seats, and three moved from "likely Republican" to "leans Republican." But eight formerly Republican-leaning districts are now a toss-up. And in Florida's 13th District, Democratic incumbent and former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist's seat has been deemed "safe."
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Up until this point, Crystal Ball has given both parties a 50-50 chance of controlling the House, but these switches give Democrats a slight advantage. It's especially notable because Crystal Ball projections tend to favor conservatives, Axios says.
One notable switch to watch is in Ohio's 12th District, where a seat vacated by a Republican is up for grabs in an Aug. 7 special election. Crystal Ball moved the race into toss-up territory, and Cook Political Report also labels the race a toss-up.
Check out which races made a move at Sabato's Crystal Ball.
-
Is the US about to lose its measles elimination status?Today's Big Question Cases are skyrocketing
-
‘No one is exempt from responsibility, and especially not elite sport circuits’Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
-
Businesses are caught in the middle of ICE activitiesIn the Spotlight Many companies are being forced to choose a side in the ICE debate
-
Rep. Ilhan Omar attacked with unknown liquidSpeed Read This ‘small agitator isn’t going to intimidate me from doing my work’
-
Democrats pledge Noem impeachment if not firedSpeed Read Trump is publicly defending the Homeland Security secretary
-
The billionaires’ wealth tax: a catastrophe for California?Talking Point Peter Thiel and Larry Page preparing to change state residency
-
Hegseth moves to demote Sen. Kelly over videospeed read Retired Navy fighter pilot Mark Kelly appeared in a video reminding military service members that they can ‘refuse illegal orders’
-
Trump says US ‘in charge’ of Venezuela after Maduro grabSpeed Read The American president claims the US will ‘run’ Venezuela for an unspecified amount of time, contradicting a statement from Secretary of State Marco Rubio
-
Bari Weiss’ ‘60 Minutes’ scandal is about more than one reportIN THE SPOTLIGHT By blocking an approved segment on a controversial prison holding US deportees in El Salvador, the editor-in-chief of CBS News has become the main story
-
CBS pulls ‘60 Minutes’ report on Trump deporteesSpeed Read An investigation into the deportations of Venezuelan migrants to El Salvador’s notorious prison was scrapped
-
Trump administration posts sliver of Epstein filesSpeed Read Many of the Justice Department documents were heavily redacted, though new photos of both Donald Trump and Bill Clinton emerged
