Health & Science

Our alarmingly hot future; Starbucks for bees; When Mars was like Earth; Giving mice human smarts

Our alarmingly hot future

Earth should be gradually cooling, but instead, it’s heating up—at a rate unprecedented in the past 11,300 years. That’s the grim news from scientists who analyzed the isotopes in marine fossils from around the world to compile the most complete record of Earth’s temperatures yet. The data stretches back to the end of the last ice age, when gradually warming temperatures, brought about by a shift in Earth’s orbit and angle, ushered in the modern Holocene Epoch. Then, beginning roughly 5,000 years ago, another shift caused the global average temperatures to begin to cool. That trend likely would have continued, taking us toward another ice age, if it weren’t for greenhouse gas emissions, which have reversed the planet’s cooling trajectory in a single century. “What we found is that temperatures increased in the last hundred years as much as they had cooled in the last six or seven thousand,’’ said Shaun Marcott, a climate scientist at Oregon State University. At its current speed, global warming will heat the planet between 2 and 12 degrees by 2100—challenging many species’ ability to adapt. “The climate changes to come,” Gavin Schmidt, a NASA climate researcher, tells Science, “are going to be larger than anything that human civilization has seen in its entire existence.”

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