David Cameron’s hopes of keeping his job are better than they look in the opinion polls. That’s because the pollsters are failing to pick up on “shy Tory” voters who don’t own up to their intention to vote Conservative on 7 May.
The effect is to flatter Ed Miliband and Labour with poll ratings between two and four points higher than they should be, according to the former Tory MP and respected election analyst Robert Hayward.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
-
Today's political cartoons - December 22, 2024Cartoons Sunday's cartoons - the long and short of it, trigger finger, and more
-
5 hilariously spirited cartoons about the spirit of ChristmasCartoons Artists take on excuses, pardons, and more
-
Inside the house of AssadThe Explainer Bashar al-Assad and his father, Hafez, ruled Syria for more than half a century but how did one family achieve and maintain power?
-
John Prescott: was he Labour's last link to the working class?Today's Big Quesiton 'A total one-off': tributes have poured in for the former deputy PM and trade unionist
-
Last hopes for justice for UK's nuclear test veteransUnder the Radar Thousands of ex-service personnel say their lives have been blighted by aggressive cancers and genetic mutations
-
Will Donald Trump wreck the Brexit deal?Today's Big Question President-elect's victory could help UK's reset with the EU, but a free-trade agreement with the US to dodge his threatened tariffs could hinder it
-
What is the next Tory leader up against?Today's Big Question Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick will have to unify warring factions and win back disillusioned voters – without alienating the centre ground
-
What is Lammy hoping to achieve in China?Today's Big Question Foreign secretary heads to Beijing as Labour seeks cooperation on global challenges and courts opportunities for trade and investment
-
Is Britain about to 'boil over'?Today's Big Question A message shared across far-right groups listed more than 30 potential targets for violence in the UK today
-
UK's Starmer slams 'far-right thuggery' at riotsSpeed Read The anti-immigrant violence was spurred by false rumors that the suspect in the Southport knife attack was an immigrant
-
How could J.D. Vance impact the special relationship?Today's Big Question Trump's hawkish pick for VP said UK is the first 'truly Islamist country' with a nuclear weapon
