North Korea and the limits of missile diplomacy

After ‘duelling’ missile tests on the Korean peninsula, North Korea’s intentions are harder than ever to read

South Koreans watch the North Korean missile launch
South Koreans watch the North Korean missile launch
(Image credit: Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)

The Korean peninsula was the site of “duelling” missile tests last week, said Michael Lee in Korea JoongAng Daily (Seoul). On Wednesday, North Korea launched two tactical ballistic missiles, from a train, in defiance of UN resolutions. South Korea, for its part, conducted a submarine-launched ballistic missile test, becoming the first nation without nuclear weapons to have that capability. The tests came soon after North Korean state media said that a long-range cruise missile capable of hitting Japan had been fired into the sea 930 miles away. Cruise missiles can carry a nuclear warhead, and are of particular concern because they fly low and can change direction in flight, evading defence systems.

North Korea’s intentions are now harder than ever to read, said Michelle Ye Hee Lee in The Washington Post. Pyongyang sealed its borders during the pandemic, excluding even its only major trading partner, China. This prompted an exodus of foreigners – diplomats, aid workers, business envoys – who usually provided some insights into life in the totalitarian country. But the UN believes its people are suffering “severe” food shortages, and that there is a risk of a major famine. The reasons for its missile tests are still clear enough, said Christoph Bluth and Owen Greene on The Conversation. North Korea uses tests to demonstrate to its own population that “it is a great and powerful nation”. As far as the world outside is concerned, they are designed to “mitigate diplomatic isolation and as leverage to generate international aid”. There are, at present, no credible diplomatic initiatives for engaging with Pyongyang. So we can “expect further missile launches – and possibly nuclear weapons tests – in the near future”.

The Week

Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

SUBSCRIBE & SAVE
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/jacafc5zvs1692883516.jpg

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

Sign up