Trump is just as likely as Clinton to win the nomination, professor finds

Donald Trump
(Image credit: Ralph Freso/Getty Images)

Hillary Clinton isn't the only candidate who could be a shoo-in for her party's nomination this presidential election. Princeton Professor Sam Wang says that an analysis of existing and past poll data has led him to this conclusion: "Donald Trump is in as strong a position to get his party's nomination as Hillary Clinton in 2016, George W. Bush in 2000, or Al Gore in 2000."

While Wang acknowledges that Trump's candidacy is a bit different than the other examples he cites — he doesn't have the establishment behind him, for example — Wang says the data does skew decidedly in Trump's favor.

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Out of the 2016 Republican field, Trump is the only candidate with all No. 1 and No. 2 rankings. The only candidate close to Trump is Ted Cruz — but he has a No. 3 ranking in New Hampshire.

Read Wang's full breakdown here.

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