Trump just 2 points ahead of Cruz in Iowa
Donald Trump and Ted Cruz remain neck and neck in Iowa less than a week before Republicans head to the state's first-in-the-nation caucuses. The latest Quinnipiac University survey, out Tuesday, shows Trump just two points ahead of Cruz with 31 percent to Cruz's 29 percent. In a distant third is Marco Rubio with 13 percent. The remainder of the candidates poll in the single digits.
Cruz and Trump's numbers in the latest Quinnipiac survey are "virtually unchanged" from the last survey on Jan. 11. "One week before the caucuses gather, the question is which candidate has the best field organization," assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll Peter Brown said, underscoring that the race largely depends on voter turnout. "If the events of the last two weeks haven't moved the needle, one wonders what would change it in the next six days."
While the race is close, Brown says Cruz and Trump's dead heat does reveal one "increasingly evident" thing: "The conservative wing of the Republican Party, at least in Iowa, is carrying the day."
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
The poll, which surveyed 651 likely Republican caucus participants, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
Trump’s poll collapse: can he stop the slide?Talking Point President who promised to ease cost-of-living has found that US economic woes can’t be solved ‘via executive fiat’
-
Sudoku hard: December 7, 2025The daily hard sudoku puzzle from The Week
-
Codeword: December 7, 2025The daily codeword puzzle from The Week
-
Trump tightens restrictions for work visasSpeed Read The length of work permits for asylum seekers and refugees has been shortened from five years to 18 months
-
Supreme Court revives Texas GOP gerrymanderSpeed Read Texas Republicans can use the congressional map they approved in August at President Donald Trump’s behest
-
Boat strike footage rattles some lawmakersSpeed Read ‘Disturbing’ footage of the Sept. 2 attack on an alleged drug-trafficking boat also shows the second strike that killed two survivors who were clinging to the wreckage
-
Trump boosts gas cars in fuel economy rollbackspeed read Watering down fuel efficiency standards is another blow to former President Biden’s effort to boost electric vehicles
-
Hegseth’s Signal chat put troops in peril, probe findsSpeed Read The defense secretary risked the lives of military personnel and violated Pentagon rules, says new report
-
Trump pardons Texas Democratic congressmanspeed read Rep. Henry Cuellar was charged with accepting foreign bribes tied to Azerbaijan and Mexico
-
GOP wins tight House race in red Tennessee districtSpeed Read Republicans maintained their advantage in the House
-
Trump targets ‘garbage’ Somalis ahead of ICE raidsSpeed Read The Department of Homeland Security will launch an immigration operation targeting Somali immigrants in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area