Trump just 2 points ahead of Cruz in Iowa

Donald Trump and Ted Cruz remain neck and neck in Iowa less than a week before Republicans head to the state's first-in-the-nation caucuses. The latest Quinnipiac University survey, out Tuesday, shows Trump just two points ahead of Cruz with 31 percent to Cruz's 29 percent. In a distant third is Marco Rubio with 13 percent. The remainder of the candidates poll in the single digits.

Cruz and Trump's numbers in the latest Quinnipiac survey are "virtually unchanged" from the last survey on Jan. 11. "One week before the caucuses gather, the question is which candidate has the best field organization," assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll Peter Brown said, underscoring that the race largely depends on voter turnout. "If the events of the last two weeks haven't moved the needle, one wonders what would change it in the next six days."

While the race is close, Brown says Cruz and Trump's dead heat does reveal one "increasingly evident" thing: "The conservative wing of the Republican Party, at least in Iowa, is carrying the day."

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The poll, which surveyed 651 likely Republican caucus participants, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.