Following Donald Trump's violent, canceled Chicago rally Friday night, Monmouth University touched base with likely Republican primary voters in Florida and asked how, if at all, the incident influenced who they'd vote for in Tuesday's primary.
A full 66 percent of those surveyed Saturday and Sunday said the Chicago incident wouldn't impact their voting decisions. But among the rest of the participants— those who said the rally did influence them — an interesting pattern emerged: 22 percent said the rally made them more likely to vote for Trump, compared to 11 percent that said they were now less likely to. That means Florida Republican voters influenced by Trump's rally were twice as likely to see Trump more favorably afterward.
Going into Tuesday's contest, Monmouth found Trump has a lead of 17 percentage points in Florida, which is Marco Rubio's home state.