Democrats counting the days until the 2020 election might want to curb their enthusiasm, a new Politico/Morning Consult poll has found. In a hypothetical election, President Trump would win his re-election if he ran against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) by a margin of 42 percent to 36 percent. That margin is "fairly impressive … for a less-than-popular president against the prominent senator," Politico notes.
Politico/Morning Consult has shown Trump with higher favorability than other polls for a number of reasons, with 49 percent of voters approving of his presidency, while 45 percent disapprove in the most recent survey. But "it looks like Trump's [honeymoon period] is ending," said Morning Consult co-founder and chief research officer Kyle Dropp. "The slate of bad news for the administration is catching up to him, although its important to note that his approval rating remains sky-high among people who voted for him in November."
That won't necessarily be enough. Even with Trump beating Warren in a hypothetical election, 43 percent of voters say they would vote for a "nameless" Democrat in 2020. Just a third say they'll definitely vote for Trump. Approximately a quarter of voters think Trump is the worst president of the last 100 years.
The poll was conducted on Feb. 9 and 10, after Warren was silenced by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and reached 1,791 registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 points. Read the full results here.