Economic uncertainty appears even higher than it was following 9/11 and the financial crisis
President Trump is playing it cool when it comes to the economy, but that's not reflected elsewhere, Politico reports.
The global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index reached its highest level ever in June — surpassing periods defined by fear and confusion, such as after 9/11 and during the 2008 financial crisis, when the U.S. was already mired in recession. Now, it seems that Trump's unpredictable nature and his approach to trade policy has everyone worried again, but nobody can quite figure out what lies ahead.
"I've been in the business for 35 years, and I don't remember a time where uncertainty was at such an extreme level — and that covers a lot of nail-biting periods," said David Rosenberg, the chief economist and strategist at the investment firm Gluskin Sheff. "The U.S. economy is slowing down perceptibly. I would suggest no growth in the forth quarter. People are going to be surprised by it. It will either be recession or stagnation."
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Between May 31 and Sept. 5, the word "uncertainty" appeared in over 250 presentation and earnings calls among S&P 500 companies, Politico reports, and Rosenberg said the words "risk" and "uncertainty" appeared an unprecedented 69 times in the latest minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee. He says that's more frequently than any meeting during the 2008 crisis or after 9/11, as well as more than the "tech wreck" almost two decades ago.
Still, neither the Trump administration or the Federal Reserve are panicking — at least not publicly. Read more at Politico.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Tim is a staff writer at The Week and has contributed to Bedford and Bowery and The New York Transatlantic. He is a graduate of Occidental College and NYU's journalism school. Tim enjoys writing about baseball, Europe, and extinct megafauna. He lives in New York City.
-
Long summer days in Iceland's highlands
The Week Recommends While many parts of this volcanic island are barren, there is a 'desolate beauty' to be found in every corner
By The Week UK Published
-
The Democrats: time for wholesale reform?
Talking Point In the 'wreckage' of the election, the party must decide how to rebuild
By The Week UK Published
-
5 deliciously funny cartoons about turkeys
Cartoons Artists take on pardons, executions, and more
By The Week US Published
-
US charges Indian tycoon with bribery, fraud
Speed Read Indian billionaire Gautam Adani has been indicted by US prosecutors for his role in a $265 million scheme to secure solar energy deals
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Boeing machinists approve contract, end strike
Speed Read The company's largest union approved the new contract offer, ending a seven-week strike
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
US economy still strong in final preelection report
Speed Read It grew at a solid 2.8% annual rate from July through September
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Boeing machinists reject deal, continue strike
Speed Read The rejection came the same day Boeing reported a $6.2 billion quarterly loss
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Ports reopen after dockworkers halt strike
Speed Read The 36 ports that closed this week, from Maine to Texas, will start reopening today
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Empty-nest boomers aren't selling their big homes
Speed Read Most Americans 60 and older do not intend to move, according to a recent survey
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Brazil accuses Musk of 'disinformation campaign'
Speed Read A Brazilian Supreme Court judge has opened an inquiry into Elon Musk and X
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Disney board fends off Peltz infiltration bid
Speed Read Disney CEO Bob Iger has defeated activist investor Nelson Peltz in a contentious proxy battle
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published