Sen. Thad Cochran has just pulled off one of the biggest political comebacks of the year, winning tonight's Mississippi Republican primary runoff against Tea Party challenger Chris McDaniel — after having trailed McDaniel in the original primary vote three weeks ago.
With 98 percent of precincts reporting, Cochran has 182,507 votes, or 50.6 percent, against McDaniel's 177,709 votes, 49.4 percent. The Associated Press has projected Cochran as the winner.
McDaniel, a state senator, led in the initial primary with 49.5 percent against Cochran's 49.0 percent. But because no candidate reached over 50 percent of the vote, with a little-known third candidate taking the balance, under Mississippi election law the two contenders were then pushed through to a runoff.
Cochran aggressively attacked McDaniel's past career in talk radio, presenting him as undignified and not fit to serve in the U.S. Senate. And the Cochran campaign reached out heavily to African-American voters, who normally vote Democratic, to vote in the Republican runoff in order to stop the more extreme McDaniel.
Moreover, the Cochran campaign also had a finely tuned message in its campaign ads: That as the top Republican on the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee, as well as the powerful Appropriation Committee's defense subcommittee, only he could continue to bring home the federal projects that are really so vital to the state's economy.
As the Jackson Free Press pointed out, Cochran also ran a cleverly bifurcated outreach. In white areas, campaign literature touted his many votes against the Affordable Care Act and his support for gun rights; in black areas, he touted his work on behalf of historically black colleges and universities, and his support for the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program — commonly known as food stamps, a program that is not too near and dear to Republican primary voters. Eric Kleefeld
Shortly before dawn Sunday morning, a tour bus on Interstate 10 headed to Los Angeles crashed into a tractor trailer truck, killing 13 people and injuring 31.
— World News Tonight (@ABCWorldNews) October 23, 2016
The bus was on its way back from the Red Earth Casino in Thermal, California, when the accident took place near Palm Springs. "The speed of the bus was so significant that when it hit the back of the big rig, the trailer, the trailer itself entered about 15 feet into the bus," California Highway Patrol Border Division Chief Jim Abele said. Abele said it's unclear at this point how fast the bus, operated by USA Holiday, was traveling. The bus driver was killed and the truck driver sustained injuries, Abele said, adding, "In 35 years, I've never seen a crash with 13 confirmed fatalities." Catherine Garcia
Hacked emails see Clinton campaign decide to keep quiet about race issues unless 'we're slipping fast'
Hacked emails published Saturday by WikiLeaks see Hillary Clinton's campaign weighing the pros and cons of having their candidate give a major speech on race issues in America, the Associated Press reported Sunday.
In a conversation in February of this year, Clinton's chief speechwriter, Dan Schwerin, emailed other staff to suggest such a speech could show Clinton's "sustained and comprehensive commitment" to minorities. However, he wrote, the speech could also "unintentionally end up elevating questions that aren't yet being widely asked and introduce new damaging information, especially [Clinton's use of the term] super predator, to a lot more voters."
Schwerin concluded that "if we're slipping fast [in the race against Sen. Bernie Sanders], maybe it's worth rolling the dice and doing the speech. If we're holding relatively steady, maybe we see if we can ride this out without doing the speech."
Clinton did end up giving a speech on race issues in Harlem on Feb. 16. At the time, Sanders was rising rapidly in the polls, from an average of 35 percent support the day before the speech to 42 percent three days later. Bonnie Kristian
Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, joined Fox News host Chris Wallace on Sunday to discuss whether Trump can plausibly accrue the 270 Electoral College votes he needs to win the White House.
After Wallace asked what Trump's "realistic path" to that victory could be, the famously smooth-talking Conway insisted with a rapid-fire list of states that the race is not over yet. Clinton is "still under 50 [percent] everywhere," Conway argued, despite an advertising budget that far exceeds Trump's ad spending.
Lapsed voters and first-time voters are enthusiastic about her candidate, Conway added, but likely to be underrepresented in polling data. "We're not giving up," she concluded. "We know we can win this, and we are certainly not acceding to the same chattering class that's been wrong about Donald Trump for about a year and a half." Watch the full exchange below. Bonnie Kristian
Spain's Socialist Party on Sunday cleared the way to ending nearly a year of political deadlock by abstaining from a parliamentary vote which was then able to confirm Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy of the conservative People's Party (PP) for another term.
The abstention decision follows national elections in December and June which left no single party or coalition with a governing majority. The most recent election saw Rajoy's party take a plurality while the Socialists, the runner-up, lost five seats in parliament. A third general election would have been scheduled soon absent today's shift, and the Socialist Party was worried they might lose additional seats in the third vote.
"We went to win the elections, but since that didn't happen, we need that there is a government to act as the opposition," said Socialist interim party head Javier Fernandez of his party's unusual decision. Without a sweeping mandate from voters, Rajoy has said he must "work day to day, with humility and patience" to pursue his legislative agenda. Bonnie Kristian
While conventional wisdom suggests income level is the greatest determining factor in white voters' support for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump (she the elite insider, he the voice of the beleaguered working class — or rich Republicans facing off against poor Democrats) a new analysis from FiveThirtyEight suggests religion and education level are both far more important.
"Roughly speaking," the report summarizes, "a white voter will lean left if she is 'more college than church' and will lean right if she is 'more church than college.'" For those who fall in the middle of each spectrum, the third most predictive factor — whether a person lives in a more urban or rural area — settled the matter, with rural voters preferring Trump and urbanites going with Clinton.
As for income, the pollsters note it was actually "the least predictive of white voter support" of all seven demographic factors analyzed. The voting habits of white voters will be subject to extensive scrutiny in the run-up to Election Day, as overwhelming minority support for Clinton means Trump would rely primarily on white swing voters to win.
This post has been updated throughout. Bonnie Kristian
Donald Trump was endorsed by the Las Vegas Review-Journal in an editorial published Saturday night, his first serious newspaper endorsement of the general election. The bulk of the endorsement pitch turned on Supreme Court vacancies, arguing Hillary Clinton must not be permitted to fill those seats.
"Mr. Trump represents neither the danger his critics claim nor the magic elixir many of his supporters crave," the article says. "But he promises to be a source of disruption and discomfort to the privileged, back-scratching political elites for whom the nation's strength and solvency have become subservient to power's pursuit and preservation."
Trump was previously only endorsed for the general election by The National Enquirer, while most paper endorsements have gone to Clinton. Even Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson still easily outpaces Trump in newspaper support, with the backing of notable outlets like the Chicago Tribune, The Detroit News, and more. Bonnie Kristian
The United States and Iran aren't the friendliest pair on a national level, but Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, who has taken a more conciliatory stance toward the West than others in his country's leadership, feels America's pain on having to pick between two historically unpopular presidential candidates.
"America claims it has more than 200 years of democracy, and they have had 50 presidential elections, but there is no morality in that country," Rouhani said in a speech Sunday. "You saw the presidential debates, how they talk ... how they accuse and mock [each other]."
He recounted a recent episode in which he was asked by a fellow head of state whether he preferred to see Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump in the White House. "I said should I prefer bad over worse or worse over bad?" Rouhani recalled, declining to specify who is "bad" and who is "worse." Bonnie Kristian