Donald Trump's biggest threat in the New Hampshire polls might not be who you think

Donald Trump has someone to keep an eye on in New Hampshire — Ohio Gov. John Kasich. The latest New Hampshire poll by the American Research Group places Kasich at 20 percent support with likely Republican primary voters, just seven points behind Donald Trump's 27 percent. Marco Rubio was the only other Republican with double-digit support, sitting at 10 percent.

It might be worth taking these newest numbers with a grain of salt, however. Mediaite points out that the American Research Group received a C minus rating from FiveThirtyEight, who ranks polls based on accuracy. Many other polls place Trump far ahead of the rest of the Republican field in New Hampshire, by almost 18 points.

The American Research Group conducted a telephone survey of 600 likely Republican voters between Jan. 15-18, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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