Rubles rolling into London force Cameron to cool it on sanctions
And how do we know? Because, once again, an official visiting the PM has failed to keep his papers to himself
NOW it gets personal. David Cameron is against general sanctions against Putin’s Russia over the annexation of the Crimea but he is prepared to impose “smart” sanctions on individual Russians.
As Nick Robinson, the BBC'S political editor, told Radio 4's Today programme this morning, this could upset the estate agents in Hampstead (one of the areas of London, along with Kensington and Chelsea, favoured by Russia's big spenders), and the bursars of some of England’s top public schools (ditto).
But it won't amount to the debilitating economic sanctions threatened by US President Barack Obama on Monday.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
He was on the phone to both Angela Merkel and Cameron to drum up support after his Secretary of State, John Kerry, went on the talk shows on Sunday to wave the big sanctions stick ahead of his visit to Kiev today.
But Obama will have discovered that London, Berlin and Paris are not so gung-ho for a return to the Cold War.
The City of London would lose billions in trade, Germany its lucrative market for BMWs and Mercedes, and France its sales of champagne and luxury goods, if the world leaders pulled the plug on Russia over Ukraine. The West would also lose the gas supplies which it sucks in like a drunk with a whisky barrel.
There is a gulf in rhetoric between John Kerry and UK Foreign Secretary William Hague, who said Putin would have to pay a diplomatic price in sanctions but refused to itemise the bill.
Now we know what Cameron and Hague have in mind as a compromise - targeted 'smart' sanctions on individuals, similar to those imposed on the leaders of hated regimes in Zimbabwe, Syria and Libya.
And how do we know? Because yet again – when will they ever learn? – a Foreign Office official (believed to be Hugh Powell, son of Charles Powell, Lady Thatcher’s former aide, and now the deputy national security adviser) allowed himself to be snapped by photographers posted outside 10 Downing Street carrying a crucial document.
Enlarged, it read in part: "The UK should not support for now trade sanctions or close London's financial centre to Russians."
It also said ministers should “discourage any discussion [eg, at Nato] of contingency military preparations”. That’s a relief.
The disclosure of the document forced Cameron to deny, via a spokesman, that Britain was putting its financial interests above those of the Ukraine. But it’s pretty clear that is exactly what he is doing, and many would say: "Quite right too".
The document setting out the Foreign Office strategy advises ministers to tell Russians in private about limited sanctions they may face, but to be “generic” in public.
One of the reasons for this strategy was revealed in a briefing given by Downing Street after a phone call between David Cameron, Chancellor Merkel and President Hollande. The Prime Minister’s spokesman said the international community should speak with one voice.
"You only use those words if you a spin doctor because you know the international community is NOT speaking with one voice," said Nick Robinson.
"We want to keep all those rubles coming into London, the French want to sell warships to the Russian navy, and the Germans want to keep on buying 30-40 per cent of their oil and gas from Russia while companies invest in Russian companies. At the EU there has been a real resistance to turn tough words into tough actions."
Liam Halligan, an old Russian hand, and economics commentator for the Daily Telegraph, said on the Today programme it would be “mad” to impose general sanctions against Russia or talk about a return to the Cold War. Cameron and Hague appear to agree with him.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
What's next for electric vehicles under Trump?
Today's Big Question And what does that mean for Tesla's Elon Musk?
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
These 7 touring theater productions are ready to carry you through the holidays and into the new year
The Week Recommends Your favorite movie-turned-musical might be coming to a city near you
By Scott Hocker, The Week US Published
-
Dark energy data suggest Einstein was right (luckily)
Speed Read Albert Einstein's 1915 theory of general relativity has been proven correct, according to data collected by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Ukraine fires ATACMS, Russia ups hybrid war
Speed Read Ukraine shot U.S.-provided long-range missiles and Russia threatened retaliation
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Last hopes for justice for UK's nuclear test veterans
Under the Radar Thousands of ex-service personnel say their lives have been blighted by aggressive cancers and genetic mutations
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Can Europe pick up the slack in Ukraine?
Today's Big Question Trump's election raises questions about what's next in the war
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
Biden allows Ukraine to hit deep in Russia
Speed Read The U.S. gave Ukraine the green light to use ATACMS missiles supplied by Washington, a decision influenced by Russia's escalation of the war with North Korean troops
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
What does the G20 summit say about the new global order?
Today's Big Question Donald Trump's election ushers in era of 'transactional' geopolitics that threatens to undermine international consensus
By Elliott Goat, The Week UK Published
-
Will Donald Trump wreck the Brexit deal?
Today's Big Question President-elect's victory could help UK's reset with the EU, but a free-trade agreement with the US to dodge his threatened tariffs could hinder it
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Can Ukraine win over Donald Trump?
Today's Big Question Officials in Kyiv remain optimistic they can secure continued support from the US under a Trump presidency
By Richard Windsor, The Week UK Published
-
'The first order of business is to redouble every effort to preserve American democracy'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published