Joe Biden is the only Democratic candidate leading Trump in 2 key swing states, polls show

(Image credit: Scott Eisen/Getty Images)

published 31 December 2019

New polls from Virginia and Florida painted a fairly promising picture for President Trump's 2020 chances in the two key swing states. That is, unless former Vice President Joe Biden maintains his lead atop the Democratic field.

Mason-Dixon surveys released Tuesday show Trump leading every top Democratic contender besides Biden in both states.

Despite Mason-Dixon getting a B+ rating from FiveThirtyEight, some analysts are a bit skeptical of the numbers, especially in Virginia. The poll shows quite a surprising recovery for the president, and the state's recent electoral history would suggest it may lean away from Trump. But, if accurate, it could be a cause for worry for the Democratic Party.

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Mason-Dixon surveyed 625 registered voters in Virginia and 625 voters in Florida between Dec. 11 and Dec. 16. The margin of error was ± 4 percentage points.

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Tim is a staff writer at The Week and has contributed to Bedford and Bowery and The New York Transatlantic. He is a graduate of Occidental College and NYU's journalism school. Tim enjoys writing about baseball, Europe, and extinct megafauna. He lives in New York City.