3 new polling takeaways for Trump, Biden, and congressional Democrats


The new Quinnipiac poll released on Tuesday contains good news for Donald Trump, bad news for Joe Biden, and a mixed bag for congressional Democrats investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection on Capitol Hill.
First, the Trump news. As we approach the one-year anniversary of the 2020 election, Republicans want to see the former president run for the nation's highest office again in 2024 by a sweeping margin of 78 to 16 percent. That's up substantially from last May, when the divide was a somewhat narrower 66 to 30 percent. This has to be encouraging for Trump and those in his circle, since it reinforces that he has the party's nomination locked up if he wants it. (We knew that already, but these results certainly show no sign of wavering GOP support.)
When it comes to President Biden, Quinnipiac continues to deliver disappointing results. In this poll, just 37 percent of the public approves of the job the president is doing, while 52 percent disapprove, placing him 15 points under water. This is one point worse than the gloomy 38 percent approval rating the poll captured last week. Does that make Quinnipiac a harbinger of continued trouble ahead for the administration? Or does it signal that the polling outfit is misleadingly off base for Biden? Either way, Quinnipiac is clearly an outlier, coming in a full seven points below FiveThirtyEight's aggregate approval tracker.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Then there are Quinnipiac's findings about the congressional investigation into the events of Jan. 6. Roughly 6 in 10 Americans (59 – 35 percent) believe the events that day were an attack on the government, and about 4 in 10 (42 percent) largely hold President Trump responsible for them. But do respondents support the work of the congressional investigation into what happened at the U.S. Capitol? Apparently only 40 percent want to learn more about led to the insurrection, while a total of 56 percent say that enough is already known about it.
That points to a vulnerability for the Democrats leading the investigation. If it uncovers significant new revelations, a substantial portion (about two fifths) of the country will be eager to hear the news, with perhaps a few skeptics willing to revise their opinions. But if the investigation reveals little we didn't already know, congressional Democrats may find a solid majority of the country tuning out from the investigation and even blaming them for fixating on the past.
That's not the worst news in the world, but it's not quite what Democrats in Congress had been hoping for.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Damon Linker is a senior correspondent at TheWeek.com. He is also a former contributing editor at The New Republic and the author of The Theocons and The Religious Test.
-
Why does the U.S. need China's rare earth metals?
Today's Big Question Beijing has a 'near monopoly' on tech's raw materials
By Joel Mathis, The Week US
-
When did divorce begin?
The Explaine Couples have always split up, but the institution has undergone major changes over the years
By David Faris
-
What are your retirement savings account options?
The explainer The two main types of accounts are 401(k) plans and individual retirement accounts (IRAs)
By Becca Stanek, The Week US
-
Why Russia removed the Taliban's terrorist designation
The Explainer Russia had designated the Taliban as a terrorist group over 20 years ago
By Justin Klawans, The Week US
-
Inside the Israel-Turkey geopolitical dance across Syria
THE EXPLAINER As Syria struggles in the wake of the Assad regime's collapse, its neighbors are carefully coordinating to avoid potential military confrontations
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US
-
'Like a sound from hell': Serbia and sonic weapons
The Explainer Half a million people sign petition alleging Serbian police used an illegal 'sound cannon' to disrupt anti-government protests
By Abby Wilson
-
The arrest of the Philippines' former president leaves the country's drug war in disarray
In the Spotlight Rodrigo Duterte was arrested by the ICC earlier this month
By Justin Klawans, The Week US
-
Ukrainian election: who could replace Zelenskyy?
The Explainer Donald Trump's 'dictator' jibe raises pressure on Ukraine to the polls while the country is under martial law
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK
-
Why Serbian protesters set off smoke bombs in parliament
THE EXPLAINER Ongoing anti-corruption protests erupted into full view this week as Serbian protesters threw the country's legislature into chaos
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US
-
Who is the Hat Man? 'Shadow people' and sleep paralysis
In Depth 'Sleep demons' have plagued our dreams throughout the centuries, but the explanation could be medical
By The Week Staff
-
Was Jimmy Carter America's best ex-president?
Today's Big Question Carter's presidency was marred by the Iran hostage crisis, but his work in the decades after leaving office won him global acclaim
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK